Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019006 0.020374 0.021795 0.023383 0.025109 0.026931 0.029003
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016567 0.018524 0.020660 0.023172 0.026052 0.029262 0.033124
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014831 0.017108 0.019687 0.022838 0.026603 0.030981 0.036489
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.013729 0.016243 0.019177 0.022878 0.027453 0.032966 0.040173
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012686 0.015326 0.018486 0.022579 0.027788 0.034258 0.043003
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011753 0.014456 0.017762 0.022145 0.027865 0.035165 0.045327
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011055 0.013822 0.017272 0.021944 0.028185 0.036351 0.048039
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010440 0.013246 0.016809 0.021727 0.028439 0.037428 0.050630
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009798 0.012595 0.016202 0.021267 0.028315 0.037952 0.052443
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009472 0.012339 0.016095 0.021465 0.029087 0.039737 0.056151
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009094 0.011989 0.015839 0.021432 0.029515 0.041039 0.059209
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008835 0.011786 0.015767 0.021643 0.030291 0.042871 0.063170
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008431 0.011367 0.015379 0.021387 0.030375 0.043693 0.065640
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008109 0.011047 0.015114 0.021293 0.030690 0.044870 0.068747
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007753 0.010663 0.014739 0.021012 0.030698 0.045565 0.071100
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007519 0.010442 0.014586 0.021052 0.031195 0.047040 0.074834
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007211 0.010102 0.014243 0.020783 0.031185 0.047696 0.077208
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006890 0.009728 0.013834 0.020390 0.030952 0.047968 0.078918
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006645 0.009458 0.013569 0.020207 0.031045 0.048772 0.081611
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006412 0.009197 0.013304 0.020010 0.031100 0.049509 0.084222
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006137 0.008861 0.012913 0.019593 0.030765 0.049553 0.085548
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006023 0.008768 0.012893 0.019773 0.031439 0.051375 0.090322
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005866 0.008601 0.012750 0.019742 0.031749 0.052567 0.093970